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Review and Prospect of Internal and External Situations (issued in January 2008)

      Preface

  1. Overall Public Security Situation in 2007
  2. Focal Issues of International Public Security in 2007
    1. North Korea and Chongryon (General Association of Korean Residents in Japan)
    (1) Progress and uncertainty in the North Korean nuclear issue
    (2) North Korea made efforts to strengthen internal control while setting out the policy to “focus on the economy.”
    (3) North Korea sought a change in Japan’s policy toward Pyongyang, while maintaining its hard-line stance.
    (4) China-DPRK relations move toward restoration while the two countries continue to be distrustful of each other after North Korea’s nuclear test.
    (5) North Korea sought the continuation of South Korea’s appeasement policy toward Pyongyang.
    (6) Facing difficulties, Chongryon (General Association of Korean Residents in Japan) worked hard to restore its organizational strength.
    2. China
    (1) The second-term Hu Jintao administration was inaugurated, and worked hard to strengthen its power base.
    (2) China actively develops omnidirectional cooperative diplomacy, with the aim of improving its status in international society
    (3) While seeking the establishment of “a strategic reciprocal relationship” with Japan, China strongly asserted its position in the discussion of outstanding issues.
    (4) With the Taiwan presidential election and the Beijing Olympics imminent, the Taiwan-China relationship has destabilizing factors.
    3. Russia
    (1) Russia shifting to post-Putin administration
    (2) Russia has launched programs to develop the four northern islands
    4. Middle East
    (1) The situation in the Middle East remains chaotic
    (2) Iran’s nuclear development and pressure from international community
    5. Adverse activities against Japan
    Concern over leakage of advanced dual-use technologies from Japan
    6. International terrorism
    (1) Increasing threat of terror attacks by Islamic extremists
    (2) Threat of anti-U.S. militants’ terrorism and its spread
    (3) Spate of terrorist attacks in Asian countries. Attack techniques diversifying in some regions
  3. Focal Issues of Domestic Public Security Situation in 2007
    1. Aum Shinrikyo
    (1) Aum Shinrikyo splits over the conflict of opinions on management.
    (2) Mainstream group solidified organization and promoted full enforcement of absolute faith in Asahara
    (3) Joyu group promoted “breaking away from Asahara” and attempted to expand power
    2. The Japanese Communist Party (JCP) and radical leftist groups
    (1) The JCP and radical leftist groups opposed the realignment of U.S. forces in Japan and the overseas dispatch of the Self-Defense Forces of Japan (SDF)
    (2) The JCP and radical leftist groups criticized the government about the issues of “pension” and “disparity” in addition to the amendment of the Constitution and education reform.
    (3) Radical leftist groups try to stimulate organization building activity.
    (4) The JCP tries to make its presence felt
    (5) Movements of the Japanese Red Army and “Yodo-go” group
    (6) With an eye to the G8 Hokkaido Toyako Summit 2008, anti-globalization groups positively interact with groups from various countries
    3. Right-wing Groups
    Right-wing groups focused on various issues relating to North Korea and China
  4. Special TopicFor G8 Hokkaido Toyako Summit 2008
    (1) Fear of illegal acts by international terrorist and anti-globalization groups.
    (2) Public Security Intelligence Agency increases its efforts for the Summit.
  5. Public Security Intelligence Agency’s Activities in 2007 and Planned Activities for Future Implementation

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